Mexico currently supplies around 70% of the U.S. tomato market, up from 30% two decades ago, according to the Florida Tomato Exchange.

Over the past 30 years, Florida tomato growers’ share of the U.S. tomato market has shrunk from 80% to 20%, as Mexico-grown tomatoes become more common on shelves, Arizona State University professor Tim Richards said. Richards predicts the price of tomatoes will increase by about 8.5%, half the amount of the 17% tariff.

U.S. tomato prices will likely rise as the country officially retreats from a longstanding trade agreement with Mexico. Why it matters: Americans buy a lot of tomatoes, and this tariff will likely affect the cost of everything from salsa to Caprese salad.