Since the NBA flattened the draft lottery odds in 2019, the three teams with the worst records all have a 14% chance of landing the first pick. On three occasions — in 2019, 2023, and 2024 — two of the three teams with 14% odds ended up falling out of the top three entirely.

Assuming that whoever gets the first overall pick gets Flagg, the Wizards have a 14.0% chance of taking the Duke star. They are tied with Utah and Charlotte with this probability, with New Orleans and Philadelphia not too far behind with a 12.5% and 10.5% chance, respectively.

With the early entry deadline behind us and the 2025 NBA Draft Lottery around the corner, our final NBA mock draft sends Cooper Flagg to a winning situation.