President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight
WEB2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? - FiveThirtyEight
WEB1 day ago · Polls taken in the immediate aftermath of this week’s debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump showed that by a 23-point margin, debate-watchers thought Harris bested Trump in the matchup.The first batch of post-debate polls among the broader public confirm this trend, with our forecast margin in the national popular vote moving 0.8 percentage points in ...
FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia
WEBThe logo was replaced, with the name 538 now used instead of FiveThirtyEight. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, [538 1] was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver.
National : President: general election : 2024 Polls - FiveThirtyEight
WEB1 day ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
538 Forecast for 2024 Presidential Election - 270toWin
WEBAn interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
538 — Election Polls, Politics, and Analysis - ABC News
WEB538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
How to read political polls in 2024 - ABC News
WEB4 days ago · Anytime you see a poll out in the wild, we recommend following these 10 steps to help put it into context and understand what it means for the election.*. 1. Check who conducted the poll. Some ...
The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight
WEBMar 10, 2023 · Polls were historically accurate in 2021-22. Weighted-average error of polls in the final 21 days* before presidential primary and presidential, Senate, House and gubernatorial general...
How 538's pollster ratings work - ABC News
WEBJan 25, 2024 · Our new pollster ratings are based on two fundamental criteria: Accuracy, as measured by the average error and average bias of a pollster's polls. We quantify error by calculating how close a ...
What the Fox Knows - FiveThirtyEight
WEBMar 17, 2014 · Our logo depicts a fox (we call him Fox No. 9 2) as an allusion to a phrase originally attributed to the Greek poet Archilochus: “The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing...
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